UnivisionNews1 has a pretty unsympathetic view of Daniel Ortega and the Sandinistas in this video on the political situation in Nicaragua about six weeks before November's election. The video speaks discusses Ortega's family and its role in the country's media, the youth vote, and Ortega's Christian transformation over the last few years.
As it appears right now, Ortega looks set to emerge victorious in November's election. According to the most recent poll that I could find, 40% of those polled between August 18 and 22 indicated that they would vote for Ortega in the upcoming election. Arnoldo Alemán of the PLC remains in second with 19%.
In order to win on the first ballot, Ortega needs 40% of the valid vote or 35% with a margin of victory of at least 5%. Given the difficulties of accurately polling in Nicaragua and elsewhere in Central America, it wouldn't be much of a surprise if a second round were needed. However, smart money is probably on a first round Ortega victory.
No comments:
Post a Comment