Wednesday, September 14, 2011

Still Wrapping up Sunday's Election in Guatemala

The URNG, Patriotic Party, Lider, FRG, and Unionist parties are all fighting for the last congressional seats up for grabs. The URNG, PP, and Lider are currently battling over who will get the last of ten seats from Huehuetenango. As I mentioned yesterday, the URNG had won at least one seat from Huehue in each election since the end of the country's civil war. No one seems happy about the TSE's slow reporting of final results. 

Parties are still working through the details of alliances for the November runoff. However, @EleccionesGua is reporting that UNE, GANA, the Frente Amplio and UCN will support Manuel Baldizon in the November 6th runoff with Otto Perez Molina. Several pre-election polls asked Guatemalans who they would support in a runoff between Perez and candidate X (Baldizon, Suger, Caballeros, etc.). Perez won easily each time.

I think that the runoff is going to be very competitive regardless of whether other candidates/parties endorse Baldizon. However, this will especially especially be the case if UNE, GANA, the Frente Amplio and UCN throw their weight behind Baldizon. A lot is going to depend on turnout in the second round and whether an endorsement by UNE or GANA or whoever's leadership is enough to get their voters to the polls.

In other news, President Colom extended the state of alarm in the Peten for another thirty days.

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